Investing in the Age of AI
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Are We Investing for the World We Have, or the One We Wish We Had?

Published: December 4, 2025
Modified: December 4, 2025
Key Takeaways
  • Impact investing should be scaled across all asset classes, not siloed into small, niche allocations.
  • Generalist ESG frameworks are losing relevance. Investors need targeted, thematic impact strategies.
  • Climate models have underestimated risk, and the timeline for action is shorter than many investors realize.
  • Regulation has driven box-ticking behavior rather than real change. Unless rules lead to actual capital reallocation, they’re failing their purpose.
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Sustainability Wired Episode 4: Climate Finance at a Crossroads on Spotify
Sustainability Wired Episode 4: Climate Finance at a Crossroads on YouTube
Sustainability Wired Episode 4: Climate Finance at a Crossroads on Apple Podcasts

At a time when ESG fund inflows are stalling and skepticism is rising, impact investing has largely been sidelined. Capital allocation for impact remains a fraction of overall institutional allocations, well under 5% of assets under management, according to the Global Impact Investing Network.1 But is that remotely enough to meet the scale of today’s sustainability challenges? 

According to Dario Mangilli, Head of Sustainability at Impact SGR, the answer is no. In this episode of Sustainability Wired, he argues that impact investing must move from niche to norm—from a specialist asset class to a systemic investment approach embedded across strategies and sectors.

Dario’s case is grounded in a sharp critique of ESG’s limitations. He believes generalist ESG frameworks are too diluted to deliver real change and that regulatory progress has focused more on box-ticking than capital deployment. 

Meanwhile, the climate data is unequivocal: according to satellite records from 2001 to 2023, we are on a much faster warming path than many models predicted, a trajectory that demands urgent, large-scale reallocation of capital. One recent Nature study confirms this acceleration, showing that the world could cross the 1.5°C threshold by the early 2030s unless emissions fall dramatically.2

But Dario’s vision isn’t about abandoning ESG. He calls for thematic, impact-led strategies tied to structural trends like energy transition, demographic shifts, and climate adaptation. For institutional investors, this is both an ethical pivot and a strategic imperative. 

Listen now to hear the full conversation.

Key Moments

00:01Introduction
02:22Dario’s path into sustainability & listed impact investing
05:26Why impact must scale beyond private markets
16:22The post-ESG shift: thematic investing as the new sustainable framework
19:10Climate risks arriving faster than expected
21:15Structural trends reshaping markets
27:52Regulation that drives capital vs. regulation that drives compliance
35:55A new operating model for sustainable investing
42:38AI as a structural force, and a sustainability challenge
47:40The art of sustainability
51:31Closing statements

Notable Quotes on Impact Investing

In this episode, Dario challenges the conventional boundaries of impact investing, arguing that it must move from the margins into the mainstream. He explores why ESG as a catch-all framework is no longer fit for purpose, how regulation has missed the mark by focusing on disclosure over capital deployment, and why investors urgently need to reassess their models in light of accelerating climate risks.

1. Impact Investing Must Evolve

Dario makes the case that impact investing must expand beyond private markets and niche allocations to become a mainstream, systemic investment strategy.

“Why do pension funds have to think about impact investing only for like 0.5%, 1% of their entire asset allocation? This is wrong. This is not a right way to think in a time of the existential challenges that we are facing. I’m definitely in favor of having impact investing transforming itself from like a niche asset class into a systematic investment approach that can be applied across any kind of investment strategy.”

2. Compliance Doesn’t Equal Capital Deployment

Regulation has driven box-ticking behavior rather than real change. Dario argues that unless rules lead to actual capital reallocation, they’re failing their purpose.

“Any regulation related to sustainable finance that leads to compliance but does not lead to capital deployment is useless…The SFDR, for example, managed to change the narrative, to reframe the way in which sustainability is integrated into investment decision-making. But most of the requirements were centered on disclosure, relying on a huge information asymmetry between the producer and the user. If regulation doesn’t mobilize capital, it’s not working.”

3. Generalist ESG Approaches Are Out, Thematic Impact Is In

Dario believes ESG has become too broad to be meaningful. The future lies in specialized, thematic approaches that align impact with structural trends.

“I have a strong conviction that ESG as a generalist approach is over. And maybe it’s [positive] in the sense that this may create the space for a new discourse, for a new narrative, around how we make sure that sustainability, the true sustainability, is here to transform the way our economies work in spite of hype that this topic may have or may not have in financial markets.” 

4. Climate Risk Is Moving Faster Than Models Predicted

Dario notes that scientific data is revealing that our climate trajectory is accelerating faster than even the most alarming models had predicted and warns that investors are not prepared.

According to the latest scientific evidence…we have been systematically underestimating physical risks in our modeling. If you look at satellite observations from 2001 to 2023, and you tried to feed them to the main climate models, you see that the only climate models that could be considered a good fit are the ones above 2.5 degrees. So we are running very, very fast towards a climate scenario that is extremely adverse.”

Lorenzo Saa

Chief Sustainability Officer, Clarity AI

Lorenzo joined Clarity AI after over 20 years of being at the forefront of sustainable investments. He held multiple roles at the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI), driving it from about 300 institutional investors to the over 5,000 it has today. As Chief Sustainability Officer, Lorenzo is responsible for Clarity AI’s strategic engagements across the globe to enhance investor value and drive sustainable outcomes.

Dario Mangilli

Head of Sustainability, IMPact SGR

Dario joined IMPact’s team in 2019 and is the Head of Sustainability and member of the Sustainability Committee. Before joining IMPact, he worked in Milan as Sustainability Risk Analyst for the ESG rating agency Vigeo Eiris and as Business Development Analyst for Pierri Philanthropy Advisory (PPA), a strategy advisory firm specialised in venture philanthropy and impact investing.

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